Please email me for a PDF copy of any publication, or see my Google Scholar profile. Asterisk indicates first author is a member of my research group (student or postdoc).

21. Costa, M.D.P., Goddard, R., Fidelman, P., Helmstedt, K.J., Anthony, K.R.N., Wilson, K.A., Beyer, H.L. (2020). Linking social and biophysical systems to inform long-term, strategic management of coral reefs. Pacific Conservation Biology (in press)

20. Anthony, K., Helmstedt, K.J., Hussey, K.E., Bay, L., Lundgren, P., Mead, D., McLeod, I.M., Mumby, P.J., Newlands, M., Schaffelke, B., Wachenfeld, D., Wilson, K.A., Hardisty, P.E. (2020). Interventions to help coral reefs under global change—A complex decision challenge. PLoS One,15(8): e0236399.

19*. Holloway, J., Helmstedt, K.J., Mengersen, K. (2020). Stochastic spatial random forest (SS-RF) for interpolating probabilities of missing land cover data. Journal of Big Data7(1), 1-23.

18. Adams, M. P., Sisson, S. A., Helmstedt, K. J., Baker, C. M., Holden, M. H., Plein, M., … & McDonald‐Madden, E. (2020). Informing management decisions for ecological networks, using dynamic models calibrated to noisy time‐series data. Ecology Letters23(4), 607-619.

17. Butsic, V., Kuemmerle, T., Pallud, L., Helmstedt, K. J., Macchi, L., & Potts, M. D. (2020). Aligning biodiversity conservation and agricultural production in heterogeneous landscapes. Ecological Applications30(3), e02057.

16*. Holloway, J., Helmstedt, K. J., Mengersen, K., & Schmidt, M. (2019). A decision tree approach for spatially interpolating missing land cover data and classifying satellite images. Remote Sensing11(15), 1796.

15. Czaplinski, I., Turner, I. W., Helmstedt, K., Corry, P., & Mallet, D. G. (2019). Industry-based, transdisciplinary, complex problems as realistic settings for applying the M in STEM. International Journal of Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, 1-16.

14. Runge, C. A., Withey, J. C., Naugle, D. E., Fargione, J. E., Helmstedt, K. J., Larsen, A. E., … & Tack, J. D. (2019). Single species conservation as an umbrella for management of landscape threats. PloS one14(1), e0209619.

13. Runge, C.A., Plantinga, A.J., Larsen, A.E., Naugle, D.E., Helmstedt, K.J., Polasky, S., Donnelly, J.P., Smith, J.T., Lark, T.J., Lawler, J.J., Martinuzzi, S. (2018) Unintended habitat loss on private land from grazing restrictions on public rangelands. Journal of Applied Ecology, in press (doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13271, available here)

12*. Holloway, J., Mengersen, K., & Helmstedt, K.J. (2018) Spatial and machine learning methods of satellite imagery analysis for Sustainable Development Goals. 16th Conference of the International Association for Official Statistics

11*. Péron, M., Bartlett, P., Helge Becker, K., Helmstedt, K.J., Chadès, I. (2018) Two Approximate Dynamic Programming Algorithms for Managing Complete SIS Networks. Proceedings of the 1st ACM SIGCAS Conference on Computing and Sustainable Societies (doi:10.1145/3209811.3209814, available here)

10. Helmstedt, K.J. & Potts M.D. (2018) Valuable habitat and low deforestation can reduce biodiversity gains from development rights markets. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(4),1692-1700 (doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13108, available here)

9. McDonald, J., Helmstedt, K.J., Bode, M., McDonald-Madden, E., Coutts, S., Possingham, H.P. (2018) Improving private land conservation with outcome-based  biodiversity payments. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55(3), 1476-1485 (doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13071, available  here)

8. Helmstedt K.J., Larsen, A.E., Stokes, J.R., Potts, M.D. (2018) Innovating at the climate, food, water, and energy interface. Journal of Environmental Management, 209, 17-22 (doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.12.026, available here)

7. Coutts, S.R., Helmstedt, K.J., Bennett, J.R. (2018) Invasion lags: the stories we tell ourselves and our inability to infer process from pattern. Diversity and Distributions, 24(2), 244-251 (doi: 10.1111/ddi.12669, available here)

6. Helmstedt, K.J & Possingham, H.P. (2017)  Costs are key when reintroducing threatened species to multiple locations. Animal Conservation, 20: 331–340 (doi:10.1111/acv.12319, available here)

5. Helmstedt, K.J., Shaw, J., Bode, M., Terauds, A., Robinson, S., Springer, K., Possingham, H.P. (2016) Prioritizing eradication actions on islands: It’s not all or nothing.  Journal of Applied Ecology, 53(3), 733-741 (doi:10.1111/1365-2664.12599, available here)

4. Bellows, R., Thompson A., Helmstedt K.J., York R., Potts, M.D. (2016) Damage and mortality patterns in young mixed conifer plantations following prescribed fires in the Sierra Nevada, California. Forest Ecology and Management, 376, 193-204 (doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.049, available here)

3. Southwell, D., Rhodes, J.R., McDonald-Madden, E., Nicol, S., Helmstedt, K.J., McCarthy, M. (2016) Abiotic and biotic interactions determine whether increased colonization is beneficial or detrimental to metapopulation management.  Theoretical Population Biology, 109, 44-53 (doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2016.02.001, available here)

2. Helmstedt, K.J., Possingham, H.P., Brennan, K.E.C., Rhodes, J.R., Bode, M. (2014).  Cost-efficient fenced exclosures for conservation: single large or two small?, Ecological Applications 24(7), 1780-1792 (doi: 10.1890/13-1579.1, available here)

1. Bode, M., Brennan, K.E.C., Helmstedt, K.J., Desmond, A., Smia, R., Algar, D. (2013). Interior fences can reduce cost and uncertainty when eradicating invasive species from large islands, Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4(9), 819-827 (doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.12072, available here)

Other publications

Helmstedt K.J., Jagannathan, K.A., Larsen, A.E., Moreno, L.C., Ohnesorge, M.J., Sakaguchi, L., Siegner, A., Stokes, J.R., Potts, M.D. (2015) Designing Intelligent Food, Energy & Water Systems. US National Science Foundation Report (available here).

Helmstedt K.J. (2014) What to do when you outgrow your cage. In Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence in Environmental Decisions Annual Report.

Helmstedt, K.J. (2013). Are Two Fences Better Than One? Australasian Science Magazine. Jan/Feb 2013 issue (available here)

Helmstedt, K.J., Bode, M. (2012). Are Two Fences Better Than One? What do you do when you outgrow your cage?  Decision Point. Issue 64, October (available here)

Shaw, J., Bode, M., Helmstedt, K.J. (2012) Island Arks. Decision Point.  Issue 59, April (available here)


Helmstedt, K.J. (2010) Modelling Fractional Diffusion (Mathematics first class honours thesis, available here)

Helmstedt, K.J. (2015) Adding and subtracting species: the mathematics of eradication and reintroduction for conservation (PhD thesis. Available here, open access)

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